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jme 2012, 6(2): 171-190 Back to browse issues page
The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices:The Case of Tehran Stock Exchange
Ali Hassanzadeh * 1, Mehran Kianvand
1- the Monetary and Banking Research Institute (MBRI)
Abstract:   (2877 Views)

This paper examines the effects of selected macroeconomic variables on the stock market index in Iran. Using quarterly data, we examine the relationships between the Tehran Stock Index (TSI) and five macroeconomic variables which consist of gross domestic product, nominal effective exchange rate, money supply, gold coin price and investment in housing sector from 1996:1 to 2008:1.Various econometric analyses such as Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Method (VECM) are employed on time series data. It finds that Iran’s stock market index is positively influenced by the growth rate of the GDP, the money supply and negatively affected by the gold prices, the private sector investment in housing sector and the nominal effective exchange rate.

JEL Classification:E44, G10, G12

Keywords: stock market, macroeconomic variables, co-integration
Full-Text [PDF 229 kb]   (1181 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Monetary Economics
Received: 2014/05/4 | Accepted: 2014/05/4 | Published: 2014/05/4
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Hassanzadeh A, Kianvand M. The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices:The Case of Tehran Stock Exchange. jme. 2012; 6 (2) :171-190
URL: http://jme.mbri.ac.ir/article-1-74-en.html


Volume 6, Issue 2 (Winter 2012) Back to browse issues page
Journal of Money and Economy Journal of Money And Economy
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