Volume 10, Issue 1 (Winter 2015)                   J. Mon. Ec. 2015, 10(1): 63-82 | Back to browse issues page

XML Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Valipour Pasha M, Bastanzad H. The Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on the Nonperforming Loans (Case of Iran). J. Mon. Ec. 2015; 10 (1) :63-82
URL: http://jme.mbri.ac.ir/article-1-188-en.html
1- Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran
Abstract:   (3671 Views)

Financial statements of nineteen mature banks have been patronized to examine the impact of macroeconomic indicators and bank-specific determinants on the NPLs ratio through Quantile and Panel Data regression approaches. The impact of macroeconomic indicators on credit risk is statistically estimated for banking network via two directions. First, different quantiles are econometrically calculated, assessed and compared during 2007-12. Second, the Panel Data estimation is utilized in the same way to verify the outcomes of quanitle regression and to check the robustness. Results indicate that the impact of real money supply on the banks’ NPLs in 25%, 50%, and 75% of data is positive and significant in line with empirical evidence. The coefficients of the other variables (including the ratio of individual banks’ performing loans to total deposits, individual banks’ performing loans to total loans ratio, as well as GDP would be positively significant as well. The real interest rate has negatively-significantly driven NPLs. The banks’ NPLs are generally exacerbated by the impact of higher real money supply over the long run, real interest rate in the money market and upper return in the assets market mainly because of the negative-inflationary transmission effect.

JEL Classifications: C16, C23, E51, G21

Full-Text [PDF 913 kb]   (2408 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Original Research - Theoric | Subject: Macroeconomics
Received: 24 Feb 2016 | Accepted: 6 Jul 2016 | Published: 15 Jan 2015

Add your comments about this article : Your username or Email:
CAPTCHA

Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2025 All Rights Reserved | Journal of Money And Economy

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb