Volume 21, Issue 1 (3-2026)                   J. Mon. Ec. 2026, 21(1): 1-20 | Back to browse issues page

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Jamalmanesh A, sayehmiri A, Eghbali A, Yosefi Hajiabad R. Political Stability and the Shadow Economy in ‎Asia: An Empirical Analysis. J. Mon. Ec. 2026; 21 (1) :1-20
URL: http://jme.mbri.ac.ir/article-1-749-en.html
1- Islamic Azad University‎
2- Ilam university
3- Assistant professor of Economic, Payame Noor University‎(PNU)
Abstract:   (148 Views)
This study investigates the impact of political stability and other governance indicators ‎on the size of the shadow economy across Asian countries using panel data estimations. ‎While the existing literature acknowledges the critical role of institutional quality and ‎governance in shaping the informal sector, most prior research has relied on cross-sectional analyses with limited observations. Consequently, evidence based on within-country variations remains scarce. Employing a balanced panel of 34 Asian economies, ‎this paper applies both Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Generalized Method of ‎Moments (GMM) estimators to ensure robustness of results. The empirical findings ‎provide strong evidence that higher levels of political stability, government ‎effectiveness, and the absence of violence are associated with a smaller shadow ‎economy. Conversely, declining government stability tends to expand the informal ‎sector. Overall, the results highlight the importance of political and institutional stability ‎as key determinants in reducing the scale of the shadow economy in Asia.‎
     
Type of Study: Original Research - Empirical | Subject: Economics
Received: 2 Nov 2025 | Accepted: 1 Feb 2026 | Published: 29 Mar 2026

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