Volume 19, Issue 3 (9-2024)
J. Mon. Ec. 2024, 19(3): 395-411 |
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Arya K, Haji Rezaei G A, Poor Ebrahimi A, Toloui Ashlaghi A. A Conceptual Model: FX Policy & Economic Variables in Iran. J. Mon. Ec. 2024; 19 (3) : 5
URL: http://jme.mbri.ac.ir/article-1-690-en.html
URL: http://jme.mbri.ac.ir/article-1-690-en.html
1- Department of Commercial Economics, Roodehen Branch, Islamic Azad University
2- Financial Industrial Management, Islamic Azad University, Roudhen Branch
3- Department of Management, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University
4- Department of Industrial Management, Science and Research Unit, Islamic Azad University
2- Financial Industrial Management, Islamic Azad University, Roudhen Branch
3- Department of Management, Karaj Branch, Islamic Azad University
4- Department of Industrial Management, Science and Research Unit, Islamic Azad University
Abstract: (60 Views)
Abstract
This study rigorously investigates the intricate relationship between the Central Bank of Iran’s (CBI) foreign exchange (FX) policies and key macroeconomic variables amidst a complex interplay of economic volatility, international sanctions, and substantial oil dependence. Employing a mixed-methods approach, we integrate advanced econometric analysis with detailed historical policy tracing and comparative case studies of nations such as China, Turkey, Brazil, and Venezuela. Our analysis scrutinizes the impact of Iran's evolving exchange rate regimes—encompassing fixed, managed float, and multiple-rate systems—on critical macroeconomic indicators, including inflation dynamics, trade balance fluctuations, and gross domestic product (GDP) growth. The empirical findings underscore the significant role of persistent oil revenue reliance and a fragmented FX system in contributing to enduring fiscal deficits and elevated inflation levels. By drawing parallels with international experiences, our framework elucidates the critical need for diversifying FX resources, strengthening the coordination between monetary and fiscal authorities, and implementing fundamental institutional reforms to foster a more resilient and adaptable FX regime. This research contributes to the literature by bridging theoretical frameworks with empirical realities specific to Iran's context, offering a robust roadmap for enhancing the effectiveness of its FX policies.
Article number: 5
Type of Study: Original Research - Empirical |
Subject:
Economics
Received: 15 Apr 2025 | Accepted: 1 Jun 2025 | Published: 1 Jul 2025
Received: 15 Apr 2025 | Accepted: 1 Jun 2025 | Published: 1 Jul 2025
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